The latest forecast from the National Association of Realtors is finally giving us a little good news. After a few tough, roller-coaster years in real estate, NAR expects home sales to rise by about 14 percent in 2026. That is a big shift, and honestly, it is the kind of momentum a lot of people have been hoping for.
Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, explained that this rebound is coming from a mix of easing mortgage rates, strong job growth, and a market that is slowly finding its balance again. Home prices are also expected to rise by around 4 percent next year, mainly because demand is still strong and inventory is still tight.
So if you are waiting for prices to fall, the forecast is clear. That is not where the market is heading.
Mortgage Rates May Settle Around 6 Percent
Yun also shared that mortgage rates are projected to dip to roughly 6 percent next year. It is not a huge drop, but it is enough to open doors for more buyers who felt locked out in the last two years.
Even small improvements in rates can make a big difference in real monthly payments. And for many families, every bit of breathing room counts.
More Inventory Means More Opportunity
The report highlights cities like Houston where home construction is booming. More new homes means better affordability and more choices for buyers.
Here in Las Vegas, we are seeing a similar trend. Builders are staying active and helping bring more inventory into the market. It is not enough to fix the supply shortage overnight, but it is enough to give buyers better options and give sellers confidence that demand will stay steady.
Who Is Buying Today. The New Reality
Jessica Lautz, NAR’s deputy chief economist, also shared insights from the 2025 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. One thing is clear. The buyer pool has shifted.
• The typical buyer today is 59
• The typical repeat buyer is 62
• The number one reason people move now is to be closer to friends and family
She calls it the grandbaby effect. And honestly, I see this every week. People are choosing lifestyle, connection, and peace of mind.
First time buyers are still struggling though. Only 21 percent of recent buyers were first timers, the lowest ever recorded. Rising rents, student loan debt, and tough affordability are real obstacles for them. I hear these stories all the time, and they are not just numbers. They are families trying to find a path forward.
Why Agents Still Matter So Much
Even with all the online tools and platforms today, people still prefer having an agent by their side. NAR reports that 88 percent of buyers and 91 percent of sellers used an agent in their last transaction.
There is a reason for that. Buying or selling a home is personal. It is emotional. And the market is not always simple. People want someone who can walk with them, explain the options, and help make the best decision for their life, not just their loan.
My Take. And How I Support You Through This Market
Every shift in the market creates opportunity, but only if you understand how to navigate it. Whether you are buying, selling, investing, or trying to figure out your next step during a difficult season, you do not have to go through that alone.
My role is to look at your situation as a whole person. Not just your numbers. Not just your house. I walk you through the choices available and help you move in a way that protects your future and reduces your stress.
This upcoming market could be a fresh start for many people. If you want clarity, if you want options, or if you simply need someone you can trust to guide you, I am here. You will always have someone on your side who genuinely cares and wants to help you move forward with confidence.
If you have questions about this forecast or want to talk about your own plans, reach out anytime. I am here to help.
